Trump on cusp of GOP nomination amid strong base support

Trump has secured as many as 1,075 delegates, according to U.S. media estimates, and he is on the edge of getting the 1,215 delegates necessary to win his party's nomination.

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Former U.S. President Donald Trump attends the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at National Harbor in Maryland, the United States, Feb. 24, 2024. (Photo by Aaron Schwartz/Xinhua)

U.S. former President Donald Trump is expected to clinch the GOP nomination soon, amid strong support from his base.

The leading Republican contender may secure the nomination as early as Tuesday, after officials count the votes from primaries occurring in the states of Georgia, Washington, Mississippi and Hawaii. In the four primaries, 161 GOP delegates are up for grabs.

Trump has secured as many as 1,075 delegates, according to U.S. media estimates, and he is on the edge of getting the 1,215 delegates necessary to win his party’s nomination.

Trump would be the first GOP candidate in U.S. history to clinch the nomination three times in a row. Former President Richard Nixon won three times, but those were not consecutive.

TRUMP’S POPULAR BASE

Despite his overall low polling numbers, Trump’s base is fiercely loyal to the bombastic billionaire.

“He still is standing because of his strong support among the party base,” Brookings Institution Senior Fellow Darrell West told Xinhua.

“Trump won the GOP nomination easily because most Republicans agree with his stance on major issues,” West said. “Several candidates challenged Trump, but none of them were able to flank Trump either from the right or left.”

Christopher Galdieri, a political science professor at the Saint Anselm College, told Xinhua: “Trump has managed to extend his hold over the GOP.”

“He’s essentially made it all but impossible for Republicans to remain in the party and not support him,” Galdieri said.

Mitch McConnell, the outgoing Republican leader in the Senate, said last week that he would support Trump for the presidency, following years of strained relations, indicating that the party increasingly aligns itself with Trump.

Clay Ramsay, a researcher at the Center for International and Security Studies at the University of Maryland, told Xinhua that many Republicans who opposed Trump have left the GOP.

This comes as voters who support Trump believe Washington has failed them.

The former president’s base views Trump as a Washington outsider who is serious about cleaning up government inefficiencies and – especially – restoring jobs that have been shipped overseas.

Many supporters hail from regions that have experienced far higher-than-average unemployment and far lower-than-average incomes.

Those problems, they believe, are the fallout of globalist policies that Trump says he stands against.

“He resonates with (supporters). He understands his voters and he agrees with them,” Sandy Rollins, 68, a retiree and Trump supporter in the state of Pennsylvania, told Xinhua.

VAST SUMS OF MONEY

A new report from Adlmpact, an ad tracking company, predicts the current election cycle will be the most expensive in U.S. history, as candidates spend an overall 10 billion U.S. dollars, reported MarketWatch.

Just in the third quarter, the campaigns of Trump and current President Joe Biden raised over 24 million U.S. dollars each.

Total outside spending is “surprisingly high for this point in the cycle – we’re already at nearly 230 million (U.S. dollars),” reported MarketWatch. That’s over five times as much by this point in the 2020 elections season.

Galdieri said despite Trump’s hold on the party, there are enough wealthy critics that opposition candidates were able to raise vast sums of money running against him.

“That, combined with Trump’s own spending, made this a very expensive primary,” Galdieri said.

Ramsay said the proliferation of Republican candidates early on, and the strong interest of many rich Republicans in having a nominee other than Trump, were important drivers.

TRUMP VS BIDEN REMATCH

It’s been obvious for weeks that Trump is headed for a rematch against Biden, after Biden clinched the White House with a slim majority in 2020, at the height of the COVID-19 crisis.

For his part, Biden is expected to secure his party’s nomination on Tuesday, as the president has faced no serious opposition from any other candidate.

Many experts note that Biden will face a difficult task in running against Trump, as Trump leads Biden in most polls.

An analysis by Politico suggests that Trump is “gaining momentum,” but he faces issues such as campaign funding, party unity, and a series of legal troubles.

Trump is embroiled in four criminal cases, facing a total of 91 felony charges, and has recently been fined hundreds of millions of dollars in two civil cases. He denies all charges and accuses Biden and the Democratic Party of ongoing “political witch hunts” against him.

A recent poll, released by Bloomberg and Morning Consult, however, found that 53 percent of voters in key swing states would refuse to vote for Trump if any of the four criminal trials he is facing results in a conviction.

On his path to reelection, Biden faces challenges such as low approval ratings and his advanced age. Most Americans do not approve of his handling of the economy, immigration, and border security.

Adding insult to injury, Biden’s recent comments on immigration and response to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have also sparked dissatisfaction among some within his own party.

Xinhua News Agency

Founded in 1931, Xinhua News Agency is one of the largest news organizations in the world, with over 10,000 employees across the globe. As the main source of news and information for China, Xinhua plays a key role in shaping the country's media landscape and communicating its perspectives to the world. The agency produces a wide range of content, including text news articles, photos, videos, and social media posts, in both Chinese and English, and its reports are widely used by media organizations around the world. Xinhua also operates several international bureaus, including in key capitals like Washington, D.C., Moscow, and London, to provide in-depth coverage of global events.

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