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India’s Governance Test

A Rising Power Under Scrutiny

4 mins read
Prime Minister Modi

India’s rise on the global stage is no longer debated. Over the past decade, New Delhi has steadily positioned itself as a consequential actor combining economic ambition with expanding strategic reach. Its partnerships have deepened, its diplomatic footprint has widened, and its voice carries greater weight across global forums.

But as India’s profile grows, so do expectations about how power is exercised. For a country increasingly seen as a system-shaping partner, the issue is no longer capability alone, but whether institutional discipline and transparency can sustain the image it projects.

This tension is particularly visible in India’s deepening relationship with the United States. What began as cautious engagement has evolved into a strategic alignment shaped by shared concerns over China and shifting regional balances. Washington’s backing has elevated India’s role well beyond South Asia, placing it firmly within the Indo-Pacific framework. But that elevation brings a different kind of pressure. Strategic partners are no longer looking only at capacity-they are paying closer attention to how decisions are made and how systems hold up under scrutiny.

As Washington increasingly positions India within its broader strategy to balance China, such perceptions carry implications that extend beyond domestic governance.

In that sense, governance is no longer just a domestic matter. It feeds directly into how India is judged externally. India is not only being seen as a counterweight, but increasingly as a model of disciplined statecraft. That expectation raises the stakes.

Recent developments have brought that question into sharper focus.

According to international media reports, including The New York Times, interactions between Anil Ambani and Jeffrey Epstein have drawn attention. It is easy to read the episode through the lens of scandal, but that would miss the more relevant point. What stands out is not the sensational detail, but what it suggests about how access and influence might operate beneath formal institutional frameworks.

When a politically connected business figure appears to engage an intermediary who claimed access to senior political and strategic circles, the issue is less about individual conduct and more about whether privately brokered access still finds space alongside formal decision-making channels. In strategic affairs, even the perception of such access can shape how systems are judged-sometimes more than the facts themselves.

On its own, the episode could be dismissed as an outlier. Its significance grows when placed alongside earlier developments that raised similar concerns. The Rafale deal controversy-stemming from India’s 2016 agreement to purchase 36 fighter jets from France’s Dassault Aviation, replacing a larger plan for 126 aircraft with greater domestic manufacturing under a previous tender triggered sustained parliamentary debate and audit scrutiny, particularly around pricing transparency, the restructuring of procurement terms, and offset arrangements involving private-sector participation, including a private Indian firm linked to the Reliance Group. These debates did not produce a finding of wrongdoing, but they did highlight how quickly questions of transparency can surface when institutional boundaries are not fully visible. More recently, regulatory actions and financial probes involving parts of the Reliance business ecosystem have added to that unease.

None of these episodes, taken individually, define India’s governance model. But taken together, they start to form a pattern. They raise a more difficult question: are elite proximity and institutional procedure always as clearly separated in practice as they are in principle?

That question matters more as India’s strategic partnerships expand. Its growing alignment with Israel since 2017 reflects a broader shift toward pragmatic, interest-driven statecraft, particularly in defence and technology cooperation. But such partnerships depend heavily on confidence in institutional clarity. They rest on the assumption that decisions are shaped through accountable channels, not informal networks. Where even a hint emerges that privately mediated access may intersect with strategic choices, it introduces friction-subtle at first, but hard to ignore over time.

In today’s global environment, credibility is increasingly filtered through compliance. Defence procurement, financial flows and political engagement are now assessed through frameworks that emphasize due diligence, conflict-of-interest safeguards and transparency. In that context, even indirect associations with compromised intermediaries can carry weight beyond their immediate significance. They prompt questions that matter to partners, investors and policy observers alike: how strong are institutional safeguards against informal influence, and where does private access end and public authority begin?

India has been effective in shaping its global narrative-as a stable democracy, a reliable partner and a rising power capable of navigating competing interests. That narrative has gained traction because it reflects real changes in capability and ambition. But narratives ultimately depend on institutional depth. Episodes that hint at opaque intermediaries—even indirectly—do not overturn the broader story, but they do complicate it.

For international observers, the issue is less about isolated incidents and more about whether they point to a broader pattern. That is no longer a political question; it is an analytical one-and increasingly difficult to ignore.

The regional context adds another layer. South Asia remains one of the world’s most security-sensitive regions, with sustained military modernization across multiple states. In such an environment, institutional clarity is not just a governance ideal-it is a stabilizing necessity. Transparent procurement and accountable decision-making reduce uncertainty; opaque intermediation risks amplifying it.

Ultimately, the issue is not about individuals. It is about the architecture of influence. Even limited space for privately brokered access can, over time, carry reputational costs, introduce operational distortions and weaken confidence in institutional consistency. These effects rarely appear all at once. They build gradually, shaping how a system is viewed by those who engage with it.

India’s trajectory as a major power is firmly established. Its partnerships are expanding, its capabilities are growing, and its role in shaping regional and global outcomes will continue to deepen. The question is not whether India will rise, but how it will be judged as it does.

In a global environment where scrutiny is constant and governance standards are tightening, the margin for ambiguity is narrowing.

Power attracts attention. Whether that attention translates into lasting trust depends on the strength of the systems behind it.

Saima Afzal

Saima Afzal is a researcher specializing in South Asian security, counterterrorism, and broader geopolitical dynamics across the Middle East, Afghanistan, and the Indo-Pacific. Her work examines strategic affairs and evolving patterns of regional conflict. She is currently a Research Scholar at Justus Liebig University, Germany.

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