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Ballots After Chaos

The post-crisis election reshapes power, elevates new opposition forces, and tests the country’s fragile recovery.

6 mins read
Shafiqur Rahman, the emir (chief) of the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami with then the head of Bangladesh’s interim government, Muhammad Yunus

After the elected Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina was ousted from Bangladesh in August, 2024, the country sunk into chaos and turmoil for 18 months. Amidst rising disorders, the results of the 13th National Election, declared on February 13, 2026, by the Bangladesh Election Commission (EC), gave a clear victory to the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) and its allies. Out of 297 results declared, the BNP-led alliance won 212, with BNP alone winning 209 seats, and the Gano Odhikar Parishad, the Bangladesh Jatiya Party (BJP) and the Ganosamhati Andolan securing one each.

The Islamist radical Jamaat-e-Islami (JeI)-led alliance secured 77 seats, with JeI winning 68, the National Citizen Party (NCP) securing six, Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis two, and Khelafat Majlis one. JeI, with its best electoral result in history, emerged as the principal opposition party. Another Islamist party, Islami Andolan Bangladesh secured one seat, while seven candidates were elected as independents. It is significant that, despite the fact that the Awami League was banned and disallowed participation in the elections, the NCP– which sparked the agitation that toppled the Sheikh Hasina Government – has been reduced, at best, to a marginal force by the elections, and the JeI has also performed well below the expectations of its own leaderships.

The status of three seats in the-300 strong Jatiya Sangsad has been withheld, as polling in Sherpur-3 was postponed following the death of a candidate, and the results of Chittagong-2 and Chittagong-4 were kept pending under a High Court directive.

The results, seemingly show a clear mandate given to BNP, under the leadership of Tarique Rahman, the eldest son of the former (now deceased) Prime Minister Khaleda Zia and former late President General Ziaur Rahman. Rahman returned to Dhaka after a 17-year exile, on December 25, 2025. The death of Khaleda on December 30, 2025, followed by Tarique Rahman’s take-over of the party as Chairman on January 9, 2026 (he had been the acting Chairman since February 2018), was a strong indicator of BNP’s internal political cohesion. Khaleda’s death acted as a catalyst, re-igniting popular sentiment towards BNP and its allies.

The vandalism that followed the students’ unrest and the frequent attacks on the symbols of the Liberation War by the protestors [for instance in Meherpur District alone, 300 sculptures commemorating Liberation and its heroes were damaged], have had a deep impact on BNP supporters, who have always lauded Ziaur Rahman, the BNP founder as one among Bangladesh’s leading freedom fighters.

In a clear message that the anarchy under Mohammad Yunus’ Interim Government would have no place under the new regime, in his first statement after the declaration of results, Tarique observed, on February 14,

Our position is clear. Peace and order must be maintained at any cost. No wrongdoing or unlawful activity will be tolerated. Regardless of party, religion, race, or differing opinions, under no circumstances will attacks by the strong against the weak be accepted. Justice will be our guiding principle. If the rule of law is not established, all our efforts will be in vain. In upholding the rule of law, whether in government or opposition, regardless of differing views, the law must be equal for every citizen of Bangladesh.

Interestingly, JeI is an old ally of BNP, and had earlier backed BNP-led coalitions in 1991 and 2001. JeI, however, formed its own non-BNP alliance in the run-up to the present elections, confident that it had transformed itself into a significant political force over the past decade and a half, from the anti-Liberation pariah that it had become because of its collaboration with the Pakistani forces in the war crimes of 1971. As reported in June, 2023, in the preceding 15 years the number of the party’s permanent members increased from 23,863 to 73,046, a threefold rise. JeI also recorded a threefold rise in the number of its activists, which leapt to 639,000 from 221,000 over the same period. Significantly, with the ouster of Sheikh Hasina and banning of Awami League on May 10, 2025, BNP emerged as the ‘new target’ for Jamaat and its cohorts, with strident accusations of corruption against the BNP. On January 29, 2026, Jamaat Chief, Shafiqur Rahman accused BNP of corruption and extortion during its last term, asserting,

If I am a politician and take money from people, yet insist I should not be called an extortionist, that’s unfair. Stop extortion, and no one will call you an extortionist. But if you continue, you must face the consequences of that label.

BNP, on the other hand, has been attacking JeI for ‘distorting history’. On February 3, 2026, BNP Joint Secretary General Ruhul Kabir Rizvi stated, “When the Pakistani forces carried out atrocities against our mothers and sisters, you (Jamaat) did not call those acts oppression. You did not even acknowledge those brutalities as crimes. Instead, you supported them and provided patronage… In a few days, you may even say that Ghulam Azam (founder of the anti-Liberation collaborationist Razakar Bahini and Al Badar) himself was the proclaimer of independence. You can say that too, because you never step back from telling lies.” Earlier, on January 28, 2026, Mahdi Amin, senior BNP member accused Jamaat of exploiting religious sentiments to win votes, citing promises of heaven, oaths on the Holy Quran, and financial inducements.

JeI and BNP cadres fought violent street battles over the months preceding the elections. A total of 276 activists were injured in clashes between JeI and BNP in 2025, and another 40 were injured in clashes between the student organisation affiliated with JeI, the Islami Chhatra Shibir (ICS) and the student organisation affiliated with BNP, Jatiotabadi Chatra Dal (JCD) in 2025. A further 128 leaders and activists have been injured in clashes between the BNP and JeI in 2026 (data till February 12, 2026).

Bangladesh experienced rampant lawlessness under the Interim Government of Mohammad Yunus. According to the Ain o Salish Kendra (ASK), 102 people were killed in political violence in 2025, adding to 100 in 2024. ASK noted, further, that 165 people were killed in mob lynchings between January and October in 2025, adding to 128 in 2024. Such lynchings were not new, but escalated dramatically after the fall of the Sheikh Hasina Government. There were 51 lynching fatalities in 2023, 36 in 2022, and 28 in 2021, indicating a nearly five-fold increase in four years.

Islamist radicals were also given a free hand by the Yunus government after August 2024, giving a measure of impunity to JeI and its allies. Significantly, least 700 inmates, including convicted Islamist militants fled from jail, including 70 Islamist extremists and death row convicts. Crucially, as reported on December 4, 2024, Inspector General of Prisons Brigadier General, Syed Mohammad Motaher Hossain disclosed that 174 known figures, including 11 top listed criminals, gangsters and extremist group leaders, obtained bail from courts after August 5. Prominent among them was Ansarullah Bangla Team (ABT) ‘chief’ Jashimuddin Rahmani; Abdus Salam Pintu [BNP member and Harkat-ul-Jihad Islami Bangladesh (HuJI-B) aide]; Abdullahil Aman Azmi and Ahmad Bin Quasem (both JeI, with ISI linkages).

Nevertheless, even after getting complete state support, re-inventing the Razakar narrative, playing a major role in ouster of Sheikh Hasina, banning Awami League, tying up with the so-called “students’ face”, NCP, and mudslinging against BNP, the Jamaat could only scrape together 77 seats in the National Election.

In its first reaction to the election results, on its verified Facebook page, on February 13, Jamaat expressed dissatisfaction over the electoral process, criticising the Election Commission for not publishing voter turnout figures and alleging that a section of the administration displayed bias in favour of a ‘major political party’. JeI’s ally, the Bangladesh Khelafat Majlis ‘Chief’, Mamunul Haque went to the Election Commission building on February 13, to file a complaint alleging irregularities in vote counting in the Dhaka-13 constituency and alleged that ballot design flaws led to a significant number of his votes being declared invalid.

Eventually, however, the electoral logic prevailed, and JeI accepted the people’s mandate, with its leader stating that respecting the popular verdict was essential in a “genuine democratic journey.” Some of the other Islamists parties also gave somewhat cordial statements. Hefazat-e-Islam expressed the hope that, under Tarique Rahman’s leadership, the new government would move forward in running the country with honesty, competence and responsibility, and play an effective role in ensuring overall development, justice and good governance in the country. However, Islami Andolan Bangladesh’s Nayeb-e-Ameer, Syed Faizul Karim, was defeated in the Barishal-6 constituency by BNP candidate Abul Hossain Khan, and IAB’s Chief Sayed Mihammad Rezaul Karim alleged there had been “irregularities and some disorder”.

The outcome for JeI, albeit under conditions of the artificial exclusion of the Awami League, cannot be entirely unsatisfactory. The last election Jamaat participated in was 2008, where it won just two seats. 77 seats in the present Jatiya Sangsad can only be cause for some alarm among the democratic constituency, as JeI advocates violent jihad, the overthrow of democratic government and its replacement with Sharia law, and a visceral hatred for India. The election outcome transforms this radical Islamist force from a marginal player into a normalised political stakeholder.

Tarique Rahman, on the other hand, has sought to articulate a relatively balanced position, as a leader of his country and also towards India and other countries of importance. On February 12, he conceded that “mistakes” had been made by his party in the past, but promised a new era of clean politics, including a “top down, no tolerance.” In foreign relations, he articulated a “Bangladesh First” posture, declaring that “the interests of our people come first,” and that his government would pursue an “independent and self-respecting foreign policy.” He added, further, that India was “indispensable due to its geography” and that his government would “respect India’s interests,” positions that diverged dramatically from the rigid posture of confrontation Yunus’ Interim Government had adopted.

The electoral outcome in Bangladesh promises a relative measure of stabilisation, after more than 18 months of spiralling disorder, progressive radicalization and the spectre of the increasing restoration of a noxious military and intelligence collaboration with Pakistan. In the absence of the Awami League, the people of Bangladesh have cast an overwhelming vote in the next party associated with a broadly liberal-democratic nationalist ideology. It remains to be seen whether good governance, economic management and political stability help consolidate democratic legitimacy, or whether Bangladesh will yield again to deepening structural polarization.

Sanchita Bhattacharya

Sanchita Bhattacharya is a Research Fellow at Institute for Conflict Management in New Delhi, India

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