Recrudescence — The Rise of the New World Order

The greatest defense against autocracy is a well-informed, critically engaged populace that refuses to acquiesce to governance by coercion.

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In an autocracy, one person has his way; in an aristocracy, a few people have their way; in a democracy, no one has his way. ~ Celia Green

The complicated word “recrudescence” signifies the resurgence of an unfavorable condition following a period of dormancy or apparent resolution. In the medical field, it pertains specifically to the recurrence of symptoms after a phase of remission, a phenomenon that underscores the unpredictable nature of disease. The etymology of the term can be traced to the Latin recrudescere, meaning “to become raw again,” aptly illustrating the notion of a condition that had seemingly healed only to reemerge. Beyond its medical application, recrudescence extends to societal and geopolitical contexts, where it denotes the revival of detrimental phenomena such as conflict or social unrest. The term, synonymous with renewal, revival, and resurgence, encapsulates the cyclical nature of challenges that humanity faces. Whether in medicine or broader social sciences, an awareness of recrudescence is essential, as it serves as a stark reminder that vigilance and preparedness are necessary to mitigate the reappearance of adverse conditions.

Democracy

Democracy, as a system of governance, has a relatively brief tenure in the annals of human history. Its durability is increasingly questioned in the face of a global resurgence of autocratic and dictatorial regimes. The concept of democracy, derived from the Greek words “demos” (people) and “kratos” (power), originated in ancient Athens around the 5th century BCE. This early form of direct democracy allowed citizens to participate in decision-making processes. However, such systems were exceptions rather than the norm in human governance. For centuries, monarchies, empires, and feudal systems dominated, with power concentrated in the hands of a few.

The Enlightenment era of the 17th and 18th centuries rekindled interest in democratic ideals. Philosophers like John Locke and Jean-Jacques Rousseau advocated for individual rights and the social contract, laying the groundwork for modern representative democracies. The late 18th and early 19th centuries witnessed significant democratic experiments, notably the American and French Revolutions. Despite these developments, widespread adoption of democratic governance is a relatively recent phenomenon, gaining momentum only in the 20th century.

The Shift

In recent decades, there has been a noticeable shift in several nations from democratic principles toward authoritarianism. Leaders in countries such as Russia, Turkey, and Hungary have consolidated power, undermining democratic institutions and norms. This trend is not confined to any single region but is evident worldwide. In Russia, President Vladimir Putin has maintained power since 1999, employing strategies that weaken political opposition and restrict media freedoms. Similarly, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has, over his tenure, curtailed judicial independence and expanded executive powers, moving the country away from its secular, democratic foundations. Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has implemented policies that erode press freedom and judicial autonomy, leading to what he terms an “illiberal democracy.” These leaders often justify their actions by citing the need for stability, national security, and economic progress. They position themselves as protectors of national interests against external and internal threats, a narrative that resonates with significant portions of their populations.

The Demography Equation

A critical factor contributing to the erosion of democratic values is the growing disillusionment among younger generations. Studies indicate that millennials and Generation Z exhibit less faith in democratic institutions compared to older cohorts. This skepticism is fueled by several factors, primarily economic insecurity, political marginalization, and the erosion of civil liberties. Many young people face precarious employment, stagnant wages, and limited upward mobility. The 2008 global financial crisis and subsequent economic policies have disproportionately affected the youth, leading to perceptions that democratic systems favor established elites over the general populace. Despite being politically aware, young individuals often feel excluded from formal political processes. Barriers to entry, such as age restrictions for candidacy and the dominance of traditional political parties, hinder youth representation. A United Nations survey found that 76% of respondents under 30 believe politicians do not listen to young people. Furthermore, the rise of surveillance, restrictions on free speech, and the suppression of dissent have led to a perception that democracies are failing to uphold the very freedoms they profess to protect.

This disillusionment is not confined to a single nation. In France, a significant portion of the youth expresses dissatisfaction with the current democratic system, with some even suggesting that alternative political systems might be more effective. In the vacuum created by disillusionment with traditional democratic structures, strongman leaders have found fertile ground. These leaders promise decisive action, national rejuvenation, and a break from the inefficiencies associated with democratic deliberation. Historical precedents illustrate this trend. In the early 20th century, economic turmoil and political instability in countries like Germany and Italy paved the way for authoritarian figures such as Adolf Hitler and Benito Mussolini. These leaders capitalized on public discontent, offering visions of restored national pride and economic revival, albeit through oppressive and violent means.

In contemporary settings, similar patterns emerge. In the Philippines, President Rodrigo Duterte’s hardline approach to crime, particularly his controversial war on drugs, garnered substantial support among citizens weary of ineffective governance and high crime rates. This support persists despite widespread condemnation of human rights abuses associated with his policies. The allure of strongman leaders often lies in their portrayal as outsiders to the existing political establishment, untainted by the perceived corruption and inefficacy of traditional politicians. They utilize populist rhetoric to position themselves as embodiments of the “will of the people,” often at the expense of minority rights and democratic checks and balances.

History offers numerous examples where democratic backsliding has led to the rise of authoritarian regimes. The fragile Weimar Republic in Germany faced economic hardships, political fragmentation, and societal unrest, which facilitated Adolf Hitler’s ascent to power, leading to the establishment of a totalitarian regime and the catastrophic events of World War II. In post-Soviet Russia, the tumultuous transition from communism to democracy in the 1990s resulted in economic disparity, lawlessness, and a weakened state apparatus. Vladimir Putin’s rise to power was marked by promises to restore order and national pride, leading to the consolidation of power and the erosion of democratic institutions. In Venezuela, the failures of democratic governance and economic mismanagement under Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro have resulted in severe economic decline, social unrest, and the dismantling of democratic structures.

The revival of autocracy and the declining trust in democratic governance indicate a deeper, structural problem in the modern world. Liberal democracies have failed to address the evolving needs of younger generations, many of whom feel left behind by economic policies and ignored by political institutions. The slow, deliberative nature of democratic governance is increasingly viewed as ineffective in addressing pressing issues such as climate change, economic inequality, and technological disruption. Consequently, young people are drawn to strong leaders who promise swift action and radical change, even at the cost of democratic norms and institutions.

Ultimately, the durability of democracy depends on its ability to renew itself in response to shifting societal needs. If democratic systems continue to neglect the concerns of younger generations, the preference for authoritarian leadership will only grow. The challenge for modern democracies is not only to resist autocratic tendencies but also to evolve in ways that restore faith in their foundational ideals. Otherwise, history may repeat itself, and the world may once again.

Challenges of Democracy

In his latest work, The Challenges of Democracy: And The Rule of Law, Jonathan Sumption, a former Justice of the UK Supreme Court, presents a compelling analysis of the multifaceted threats confronting modern democracies. Drawing from a series of incisive essays, Sumption delves into the erosion of democratic values, the rise of authoritarianism, and the intricate balance between law and politics.

Sumption begins by highlighting the internal vulnerabilities of democratic systems. He posits that while the external structures of democracy—such as elections and institutions—may remain intact, the substantive essence can gradually dissipate, leaving behind a hollow facade. This subtle degradation often goes unnoticed until the foundational principles are significantly undermined.

A significant portion of Sumption’s critique is directed towards the expansive interpretation of human rights by international tribunals, notably the European Court of Human Rights. He contends that such bodies, in their quest to legislate from the bench, often overstep their mandates, thereby encroaching upon the sovereignty of nation-states. This judicial overreach, according to Sumption, not only distorts the original intent of human rights legislation but also fosters public disenchantment with democratic institutions.

The COVID-19 pandemic serves as a contemporary case study in Sumption’s exploration of the tension between public safety and individual liberties. He argues that the unprecedented state-imposed restrictions, while aimed at safeguarding public health, have inadvertently expanded governmental powers to potentially despotic levels. This shift, he warns, could set a concerning precedent for future governance, where the balance between security and freedom is precariously tilted.

Sumption also addresses the phenomenon of historical revisionism and the burgeoning “cancel culture.” He expresses apprehension over the growing tendency to reinterpret or repudiate historical narratives through a modern lens, often leading to the suppression of dissenting viewpoints. This, he asserts, not only stifles free speech but also undermines the pluralistic discourse essential for a vibrant democracy.

In essence, The Challenges of Democracy serves as a poignant reminder that the preservation of democratic values necessitates constant vigilance. Sumption’s erudite exposition underscores the imperative for a judicious equilibrium between the rule of law and political agency, urging both policymakers and citizens to remain steadfast in their commitment to the principles that underpin democratic society.

My Take

The preservation of democracy in its purest form is contingent upon an unwavering commitment to robust public discourse. In an era where democratic values are increasingly being eclipsed by the specter of autocracy, the need to reinvigorate open and critical dialogue has never been more urgent. The drift toward authoritarian governance is often accompanied by the erosion of institutions designed to uphold the rule of law and protect fundamental human rights. This regression is facilitated by leaders who, rather than addressing systemic inefficiencies within democratic frameworks, choose to pacify public discontent through populist rhetoric and executive overreach.

Democracy is, by its very nature, cumbersome. It necessitates debate, consensus-building, and an intricate balance of competing interests. However, its very complexity renders it susceptible to exploitation by those who seek to undermine its legitimacy. Autocratic leaders thrive on public fatigue with bureaucratic inefficiencies, offering simplified solutions that erode the democratic process in favor of centralized control. In such an environment, public discourse must serve as the counterweight, illuminating the consequences of executive excess and ensuring that the electorate remains vigilant against attempts to subvert democratic principles.

A fundamental aspect of this discourse is the reinforcement of human rights as the cornerstone of governance. The suppression of free speech, press freedoms, and judicial independence are hallmarks of autocratic regimes, all of which serve to insulate leaders from scrutiny. By fostering an informed and engaged public, civil society can act as a formidable barrier against the encroachments of despotism. Institutions of higher learning, independent media, and public intellectuals must therefore embrace their roles as custodians of democratic integrity, challenging narratives that seek to rationalize authoritarian drift.

Resuscitating public discourse requires not only intellectual engagement but also a reinvigoration of civic participation. The electorate must be reminded that democracy is not merely a system of governance but a continuous, participatory process. Mechanisms such as town halls, public debates, and civic education programs can bridge the growing disconnect between governments and the governed. Moreover, the proliferation of digital platforms presents both an opportunity and a challenge in this regard. While online discourse has democratized access to information, it has also facilitated the spread of misinformation and the polarization of political dialogue. A concerted effort is therefore required to cultivate media literacy and encourage responsible civic engagement in the digital sphere.

Leaders must also be held accountable for their obligations under the rule of law. The judiciary, as the final bulwark against autocracy, must be resolute in upholding constitutional principles. Where leaders attempt to transcend legal boundaries in the pursuit of expedience or popular appeasement, it is incumbent upon legal professionals, scholars, and policymakers to challenge such transgressions. Additionally, international frameworks designed to uphold democratic norms must be reinforced, ensuring that national leaders remain subject to global scrutiny.

Ultimately, the greatest defense against autocracy is a well-informed, critically engaged populace that refuses to acquiesce to governance by coercion. The resuscitation of public discourse, anchored in reasoned debate and a steadfast commitment to democratic ideals, is the most potent tool available to those who seek to safeguard human rights and prevent the erosion of the rule of law. Democracy, for all its imperfections, remains the most effective mechanism for ensuring both liberty and justice. Its preservation depends on the willingness of its constituents to defend it—not just at the ballot box, but through an unwavering commitment to open, rigorous, and unfettered discourse.

Ruwantissa Abeyratne

Dr. Abeyratne teaches aerospace law at McGill University. Among the numerous books he has published are Air Navigation Law (2012) and Aviation Safety Law and Regulation (to be published in 2023). He is a former Senior Legal Counsel at the International Civil Aviation Organization.

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