A brutal civil war is being waged in Ethiopia, where political power grows from the barrel of a gun. On one side stands the Western-backed, corrupt, and brutal gangster regime of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed—he who was bestowed the Nobel Peace Prize by the imperialists on the Nobel Committee in Norway.
On the other side are three armed groups, with the ethnic Amhara FANO/Patriots army at the forefront. Included is the former ruling class, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), along with what remains of its once-powerful army—now largely reduced to a bystander in the conflict. The other group opposing the gangster Abiy Ahmed is the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), not nearly as powerful or well-led as FANO, but a threat nevertheless.
The Abiy regime is backed by the West, which has long been relied upon to support its puppets in Africa. Abiy is little more than the mayor of the capital, Addis Ababa, having lost control of approximately 80% of the country. With FANO fighters advancing from one side and the OLA from the other, Abiy is left with barely a thirty-mile radius between himself and the loss of his capital—and, if he is lucky, a potential exile in the UAE, perhaps in Abu Dhabi or Dubai.
The Western banking elite continues to support Abiy, recently issuing an emergency grant of $260 million, alongside a $1.5 billion “loan” and a $3.5 billion “debt reduction” (Ethiopia has historically been the largest recipient of debt relief in Africa). Even the IMF appears to be waking up to the reality that Abiy is a losing bet, admitting that their Western investors are increasingly sceptical about propping up yet another collapsing gangster regime on the continent.
Now comes news of another US/UN World Food Programme “aid” scheme, which will see millions of dollars’ worth of food diverted from starving Ethiopians to the Ethiopian military under Abiy Ahmed. A similar scandal unfolded a few years ago until it could no longer be hidden, and the aid diversion scheme was “suspended”. Now the same scam has been restarted, under the pious reassurances that those in charge have “learnt their lesson” and that “it won’t happen again”.
FANO is on a military roll, steadily capturing territory surrounding Addis Ababa as the defeat of the Ethiopian army accelerates. In recent weeks—perhaps over the past couple of months—more than 7,000 Ethiopian army troops, mainly of Amhara ethnicity, have surrendered to FANO, with hundreds more surrendering almost daily. Around a dozen generals from the Ethiopian army—again, all Amhara—have either been “retired” or defected to FANO, as PM Abiy grows increasingly paranoid about a coup d’état from within his inner circle of military leadership.
With the noose tightening, Abiy’s days appear numbered. It’s no longer a question of if, but when he will make a desperate dash for safety in exile in the UAE. Hopefully, he will be captured and brought to justice for the genocidal crimes he has committed against the Ethiopian people.
Either way, it seems that the once-mighty Abyssinian Empire—what Ethiopia was known as until the mid-20th century—is about to come apart at the seams. A prison house of nations, Abyssinia/Ethiopia has been Africa’s only indigenous empire, forged through the conquest of its neighbours using Western firearms, mainly supplied by the Italians. Machine guns against cavalry has an inevitable outcome: the formation of a particularly brutal colonial empire.
The Oromo nation—today Africa’s largest ethnic group, numbering over 50 million and speaking the continent’s second most widely spoken language—was the main target of the Abyssinian conquest. Despite centuries of failed attempts, conquest was finally achieved with the acquisition of Italian machine guns and artillery.
The subsequent brutality of the Abyssinian subjugation of the Oromo people should be recognised for what it was: genocide. An estimated 5 million Oromo perished. The scale and inhumanity of this subjugation equals—if not surpasses—the worst crimes of the Western imperialists during their invasion and colonisation of Africa. When you hear names like Menelik and Haile Selassie—celebrated as heroes by many who have been misled by historical fiction in the West—remember the Oromo genocide.
The Ethiopian empire is now poised to break apart, with the emergence of new nations bearing names such as Oromia, Amhara, Tigray, Afar, and Ogaden—among others—arising from the soon-to-be-defunct Ethiopian “prison house of nations”.
Hopefully, these newly independent nations will find enough common ground to establish a cooperative body similar to the Sahel Alliance of Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger.
A saying in the Horn of Africa goes: “All roads to peace run through Asmara, Eritrea.” The long-standing, principled leadership of the Eritrean People’s Liberation Front—today’s People’s Front for Democracy and Justice—under the “Lion of Africa”, President Isaias Afwerki, may help guide the newly independent nations that once formed the Ethiopian empire through the perilous times ahead.
Behind the scenes, President Isaias has been preparing for this transition from colonialism to independence, with “unofficial official” spokespersons like Eritrean media figure Awel Seid already offering guidance on what Horn of Africans should expect in the not-too-distant future.
Of course, the Western banking regimes will not sit idly by and watch their “policeman on the beat” in Ethiopia disappear from history. The Horn of Africa is too strategically vital to be ignored, regardless of the moronic programmes the West continues to promote. Western hegemony is under assault from all directions, but it will not go down without a fight. Expect twists and turns in the months and years ahead—including all manner of lies and slander directed at Eritrea, as it takes a leading role in the transformation of the Ethiopian empire into a collection of free and sovereign nations.
