Iranian officials have accused Syrian President Bashar al-Assad of ignoring critical intelligence and failing to act during a pivotal moment in Syria’s ongoing conflict. According to the officials, Iran had warned Assad two months ago about a looming threat from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a powerful rebel faction, but the warnings went unheeded.
The officials claim that Iran had credible intelligence indicating HTS was preparing an offensive in Western Aleppo. Despite assurances from Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan that no such attack would occur, HTS forces successfully entered the region, dramatically altering the balance of power.
“Iran expected Assad to ask for military assistance, and we were prepared to respond,” said the Iranian source. “But no such request came. It became clear after Aleppo fell that Assad had no real intentions of staying in power.”
The fall of Aleppo marked a turning point. Iranian officials allege that Assad’s reluctance to act signaled his willingness to step down, a decision influenced by diplomatic efforts led by Russia and the United Arab Emirates. This development left Iran with limited options, prompting a strategic pivot.
“In light of the circumstances, we initiated talks with the opposition and arranged for the safe withdrawal of our forces from Syria,” the officials stated.
